Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.894917 4.159379 4.441296 4.765651 5.130379 5.530031 6.004107
2025-09-21 3.412284 3.770581 4.175061 4.670951 5.270314 5.981938 6.907624
2025-09-28 3.129654 3.535268 4.010745 4.619569 5.394426 6.371679 7.740211
2025-10-05 2.945630 3.385067 3.915784 4.619832 5.555737 6.800333 8.666126
2025-10-12 2.835930 3.309337 3.896677 4.701794 5.817391 7.380801 9.896585
2025-10-19 2.739371 3.238762 3.872896 4.767655 6.055015 7.950260 11.221073
2025-10-26 2.637388 3.151854 3.817816 4.780704 6.211938 8.413844 12.471415
2025-11-02 2.519231 3.035257 3.713121 4.711951 6.235364 8.664560 13.397111
2025-11-09 2.396180 2.904879 3.580645 4.591040 6.163550 8.744088 14.009286
2025-11-16 2.301416 2.807428 3.487300 4.519173 6.159191 8.933738 14.889098
2025-11-23 2.248401 2.763631 3.465579 4.550902 6.322092 9.438566 16.599108
2025-11-30 2.194085 2.714993 3.433495 4.563112 6.451756 9.899789 18.371159
2025-12-07 2.094742 2.601783 3.306024 4.423734 6.318609 9.853538 18.899166
2025-12-14 2.017095 2.516472 3.215803 4.338353 6.273684 9.981237 19.971562
2025-12-21 1.956482 2.452569 3.153529 4.292702 6.293565 10.243236 21.550498
2025-12-28 1.912562 2.410524 3.121303 4.292933 6.395745 10.697006 23.974587
2026-01-04 1.890329 2.398499 3.133046 4.365625 6.639753 11.514058 28.231851
2026-01-11 1.865791 2.381868 3.136519 4.423970 6.862189 12.332131 33.288713
2026-01-18 1.831553 2.349511 3.113923 4.435523 6.992470 12.953308 38.196626
2026-01-25 1.782599 2.293620 3.052149 4.374627 6.968347 13.167933 41.300959
2026-02-01 1.725717 2.224255 2.966694 4.267375 6.838513 13.074837 42.591491
2026-02-08 1.681348 2.172429 2.907233 4.203529 6.795509 13.219426 45.642175
2026-02-15 1.659383 2.153573 2.899357 4.231725 6.952313 13.972521 54.261484